Categories
Uncategorized

“Carbon-neutral” natural gas? Really?

Can a container ship filled with liquified natural gas be “carbon neutral”? Shell Oil and Cheniere Energy want you to believe that. In May, the two companies delivered a shipment of gas to Europe in which emissions associated with the upstream costs of processing and liquifying the gas were offset by carbon credits purchased from Shell’s portfolio of nature-based projects. Emissions were offset to the “FOB delivery point”. This means that Shell and Cheniere have offset the emissions all the way to the point of delivery, as indicated by this statement in their joint press release.

The companies worked together to offset the full lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions associated with the LNG cargo by retiring nature-based offsets to account for the estimated carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) emissions produced through the entire value chain, from production through use by the final consumer (all scopes).

Shell Oil Press Release, May 5 2021

Really carbon-neutral?

What they’re claiming is that independent of how the customer uses the product they’ve delivered, the product itself has been produced in a carbon-neutral fashion. And, of course, their shipping partners are eager to tout their new green credentials too. Astomos Energy, for example, put out a press release stating that they are now purchasing “carbon-neutral LPG”. The appetite for Cheniere’s new products was strong enough that they posted a 40% increase in revenues from a year ago, and bumped guidance, rewarding investors with a 74% increase in the stock price from this time last year.

Naturally, this has commentators crying foul. Salon labelled it a greenwashing scam. Cleantechnica simply said A tanker full of fossil fuels isn’t carbon neutral. That’s not how it works.

I agree.

Decarbonizing supply chains is hard.

What this illustrates, quite neatly in fact, is the complexity of decarbonizing supply chains. At Davos this year, the WEF unveiled a report titled “Net-Zero Challenge: the supply chain opportunity“. The central thesis was that 8 supply chains accounted for over 50% of the world’s emissions, and that decarbonizing those supply chains would have impact. The energy industry wasn’t one of the eight supply chains named directly. Why not? Energy is an input into every supply chain. You literally cannot decarbonize supply chains without decarbonizing energy itself.

Let that sink in.

It’s good that Shell and Cheniere have taken the small step of offsetting the emissions associated with creating and shipping their polluting products, even if the marketing of those products as net-zero LPG is deceitful. The next step is to decarbonize energy generation itself — Shell and Cheniere’s customers.

Policy is part of the answer

So how do you decarbonize energy itself? Aside from technology solutions, policy is an incredibly important tool. Yesterday the UNEP Net-Zero Alliance, a group of investment managers representing $6.6 trillion of assets under management, released a position paper calling on governments to adopt common approaches on emissions pricing, to apply emissions pricing to every sector of economies (not just the heavy emitters), to swiftly phase out fossil fuel subsidies, and to fund research and create incentives to decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors. This approach — carrot and stick — works. You can see it visually by checking out the current price of European Usage Allocations futures (as at July 7). Emissions in Europe are now nearly $60/ton, up from $20 in April.

EUA December Contract prices, courtesy Ember

What’s next?

We’re still a long way from where we need to be. Analysts say that the price today needs to be closer to $85, rising to $145 by 2030, in order to reach a 1.5C global warming target. Emissions pricing schemes still only apply to 17% of the world’s carbon emissions. So long as emissions prices stay low, and customers exist that aren’t covered by pricing schemes, there will be a market for green-washed inputs like (unfortunately) fossil fuels.

As individuals, there are are two actions we can take.

  1. When emissions trading becomes a political issue in your country, vote in favor of emissions markets, or cap-and-trade solutions. There will always be those who claim that “the market” is the solution. The market is clearly not infallible, as the Shell / Cheniere announcement shows. Vote for emissions trading schemes with teeth, not un-regulated markets.
  2. When you have the option, buy green energy from your local supplier. Do your homework first, though. Make sure that you aren’t being sold green-washed fossil fuel energy, but rather energy from non-emitting sources like wind, solar, or nuclear.

And Shell, Cheniere… we know you have to serve your shareholders, but shame on you for such cynical marketing tactics. We deserve better.

Categories
News

Recycled – June 28, 2021

  • It was a scorcher here yesterday. Record temperatures, and set to achieve them again today. And for the record, these are not normal, or even normal variance. @weatherprof provides this insight:
Categories
Uncategorized

Scope. 1, 2, 3

Getting to a zero carbon footprint, globally, is a hard concept to wrap your mind around. The scale of what’s required is intimidating!

Today’s post is about a carbon accounting concept called emissions scope. Emissions scope helps businesses to account for where emissions occur in supply chains. Then they can focus on where improvements are possible. Businesses that want to perform carbon accounting use these concepts, but we as individuals can also use this them as a framework to think about decarbonizing our own lives.

Emissions Scope.  Scope 1 emissions are associated with the operations of the business directly.  Scope 2 emissions are from the energy used to run the business.  Scope 3 are emissions upstream from business inputs and procured products, and downstream from the use of the products.
Emissions Scope

Definition

  • Scope 1 emissions are from the direct operation of the business, and the assets that the business owns or controls. Scope 1 emissions include the operation of facilities, manufacturing plants and more. They can also include emissions from fuel combustion used to run operations.
  • Scope 2 emissions are from energy purchased to run the business. Buying power or heat from a utility creates scope 2 emissions.
  • Scope 3 emissions come in two categories: upstream and downstream. Upstream emissions are from the inputs needed to run the business — the raw materials used to build products, the capital expenditures to buy equipment, and even the transport of those supplies to the business. Downstream emissions are created after the outputs of the business leave the business — the emissions from the transport of the products to market, the usage of the sold products, and even the disposal of those products.

Impact

When world leaders talk about getting to zero, they are talking about decarbonizing these supply chains. Commitments like the NDCs, and individual country level regulatory actions are fairly blunt tools. They create a framework for businesses to operate within, but ultimately businesses face the hard work of gathering scope level emission data, building governance and reporting into processes, and delivering sustainable products. It’s a daunting transformation. The good news is that these kinds of transformations appear to be achievable with very little impact on the final price for products that we consumers pay. According to World Economic Forum Net Zero Supply Chain analysis, many businesses can get to a net zero supply chain with an impact of between 1% and 4% on final consumer price.

As individuals, and families, we can also apply the same kind of thinking. Scope 2 emissions would be emissions from the energy we purchase to use in our day to day lives. Scope 3 emissions would be from the things we buy, and the things that we throw away. And if you heat or cook with wood, oil or natural gas, or run a creative business like woodworking from your home, these are the actions which are creating scope 1 emissions.

So what can we as individuals do? Here are two suggestions:

  1. We can assess our own carbon footprints. Our scope 1 emissions are likely to be small, because most of us don’t build products ourselves. But we all have scope 2 emissions. All of us consume energy at home. So what are the emissions associated with our own lives? How can we reduce them? Can we buy clean energy instead?
  2. We can make choices about scope 3 emissions in our lives. When we purchase products — cars, houses, computers, food — we can choose to look at the emissions content of the products we are buying. For example, buying locally grown food creates fewer emissions than buying fruits and vegetables out of season from distant countries, which then have to be transported to us. Choosing to bring reusable shopping bags to carry our purchases home reduces plastic waste, and hence emissions. Those are easy and obvious. But the next time you go to make a major purchase, look at the sustainability of the products you are buying, and the commitment of the company to sustainability. More companies are starting to publish reports like this one from Microsoft. More and more, business is responding to customers who “vote” at the cash register for a cleaner future.

Getting to Carbon Zero is a huge task for human society. We all have a role. Let’s not leave it to government, or to business alone. Let’s also reduce at home, and shift our purchasing dollars to companies that value sustainability.